Liberal Party News: The Victorian Division is stone dead
Monday, September 1, 2008
Having mentioned in a previous article the “Kemp report” on the investigation into the Liberal Party, this week we commence laying out the contents. I will be handed the report this week. However, the data below is from the report, as related to me. What a fascinating read it is too.
Hitherto, it could be safely assumed the Party, at 12,000 members, has a beating pulse of genuine Liberals, despite the best attempts by Michael Kroger and his chums to kill it and drain every last drop of blood out of the body. Well, this has turned out to be wrong and how. There are about 11,000 members, but there is no pulse: It has an active membership of close to 1,000.
About 2,000 are classed as active but this is based on a trick. A member who only turns up to annual general meetings is counted as active. There are about 1,000 of these ‘active members’. To state, say, 4,000 members is an exaggeration, as this requires massaging out the telling details. Thus, adjusted by what is spelled out, there is a grand total of 2,000 active members.
Out of the remaining membership, they are not merely inactive. A large number are ‘ghosts’. Mere names ‘signed up as members’ by family and friends. How absurd is this? When individual members sign up to 10 ghosts each, it is the stuff of comedy. About 2/3 of the membership are ghosts.
In the 1980’s the wreckers of the Victorian Liberal Party hammered the ALP for boosting their numbers by signing up tombstones. Well, at least the ALP had the decency to check in graveyards that the dead are dead, and not still breathing anywhere else. Kroger and his Kronies and ‘Resurrectionists’ are, it seems, afraid to enter cemeteries in the dead of night to sign up tombstones. Anticipating the inevitable, they sign up the living for the post mortem life.
The once safe Liberal seat of Corangamite was reduced to a thin marginal. In the 2007 election, ALP took it. What is important is Corangamite happens to be a crucial rural seat that must be held in order to win Office. It is or, rather, was a major Liberal Party base. So too a large number of other electorates, from Warnnambool to the Latrobe valley. Here are some key electorates that decide elections: Casey, Aspen, and Latrobe.
For the State Parliament, Portland was a safe Liberal seat, held by the brain-challenged Dr. Napthine and one-time Opposition leader against Steve Bracks. It has been by each successive state election reduced to a marginal seat, as the 2006 State election returns showed. Here is the killer punch:
Because the Liberal Party is effectively 1,000, the Party does not have the manpower to fight all seats that must be held/retaken/won. For the above seats, the Party no longer has electorate level presence to fight branches in elections. There is no longer machinery to serve regional branches. The branches in those seats have to fight in isolation. It is worse than this.
The majority of the 1,000 active members are predictably concentrated in the blue ribbon seats the scrofulous “Right” contols. They are the Malvern - Kew - South Yarra -Toorak - Brighton- Sandringham axis. It must be noted, for example, that former State safe Liberal seats such as Waverley have been reduced by the Michael Kroger Party to safe ALP seats and making this all the more risible, the ALP incumbents can be soundly beaten.
Those ALP incumbents should be but cannot be beaten and for the very reasons demonstrated in the 2006 State election. Most of the candidates were Kroger’s psychophants, gofers, and clones. I made a point of approaching some of them when they were on the hustings, showing their odd notion of working electorates. Tack on no principles and no clue at all that voters have to be convinced of the Liberal cause and they struggled to smote a paper bag.
They stood about with silly grins on their mugs. One clone assured me he knew all about economics because he is an accountant, while smiling the silly grin. I promptly wiped the grin off his face by putting three short questions, including: ‘What do you understand by labour market reform and economics, and what would you do as an MP to fight this great cause?’
There they were, not armed to answer voters who approached them. All they had to offer punters was an inane smile. How can voters take Liberal candidates seriously when that is the calibre of candidates Kroger, Costello and the Kemps stuff seats with? Secondly, assuming these ghost candidates could at least make a stab at fighting;, as in the 2006 election they did not begin to work or, rather, in their case lounge about shopping centres looking doped out.
I observed ALP candidates and sitting members out on the hustings about 3 months before the election was called. That’s right, the ALP candidates were working electorates long before the Libs began to twitch. They were thoroughly prepared. With supporting election material, they did not grin stupidly at passers-by, and they were approachable. I watched them treat all questions voters put to them seriously and answered voters seriously. ALP members did not treat voters with contempt.
They demonstrated that they were in no doubt that they had to convince voters of what they stood for and win voters. This is in stark contrast to the Kroger strategy: voters will run to mummy (Liberal Party). The black joke is, Victorians detest Brackistan. However, when they look at what stands in the name of the Liberal Party, what they see is nothing better. Voters have not been given one semblance of even a plausible reason to vote Liberal.
Now the Liberal Party is in no position to make even a risible effort at contesting seats required for victory. For victory, it requires 44 for a hung parliament. It holds 35, and it cannot merely defend 35. It is set to lose more seats, both Federally and in the State Parliament.
In the Senate, the prospect is stark and fatal.They are set to loose a minimum of 2 seats, and the loss of 4 is a real prospect. Here’s the punch. Out of the 12 Victorian Senate seats, the Liberal Party holds 6. In other words, the Victorian Division will be wiped out of the Senate; and the likes of Helen Kroger and Nick Minchin make this a certainty.
The average age of 60 % Liberal Party members is 62. So, naming ghosts as members is not too pre-emptory. 6% are under 30 years of age. Leaving a meagre 34% in the prime of life to do the core work of the Party. On 1,000 active members: 600 are on zimmer frames; 6o are still in potty training; and a meagre 340 are mobile adults.
Even if the effective membership was 4,000, this does not translate into the manpower required to fight an election statewide. Neither into, activism between elections to ensure the Party is soundly presented to Victorians. Worse, the numbers make the diseased Nazi Greens’ Party appear a major party of enormous numbers.
To reinforce the above, divide active membership over 395 branches. An average of 3 members per branch. Now correct it for the king hit: The majority of members is concentrated in metropolitan seats and this biased to the Axis.
Out of 37 metropolitan seats, there are only six with less than 100 members. 8 are listed as 500 members each (how many of these are ghosts?). Where does this leave country branches? Well, I suppose Joe and his cattle dog count as a branch, and so does Mrs Ghost another. The upshot is that those who have wrecked the Liberal Party, to defend their prized vassal seats, are surrendering many seats. They will not be contested.
The Liberal Party is stone dead. Kroger and the nepotistic ‘Right’ are culpable for this. They treat the Party as their vassal estate and, have treated members with undisguised contempt, good only for stumping up fees and donations. They have reduced it to a vehicle to promote only themselves, and this includes their anti-free market clunk tanks, the Centre for Independent Studies, the Institute of Public Affairs, and the HR Nicholls Society, to whom members fees and taxpayers money has been funnelled.
That they altered the constitution to entrench the Michael Kroger parasite party’ control, was the latest step they took on effectively taking it over. The Liberal Party forum was reduced to a platform for the clowns in the Centre for Independent Studies, the Institute of Public Affairs, and the HR Nicholls Society. Oh, members can attend, so long as they keep their mouths shut and stare adoringly at the blowhards.
The forum was originally established as the basis for open, frank exchange and debate between members and this is what the parasites shut down. This is why all treatment of matters is confined to this narrow group. This is why these buffoons are identified with and as the Liberal Party and as its intellectual base. This is matched by what has been transparent censorship of members and rules to prevent members from engaging within the Party.
The situation is nothing less than cleptocratic and authoritarian. A situation that has enabled the clunker tanks to proceed to cause not only great damage to the Party but also Australia. The evidence is hard and overwhelming that this exactly what this lot have done, and continue to do.
The treacherous “Right’s” total control over the Party is reflected in the real thuggery they deal out to branches and members. This abuse is reflected in them imposing their own clones and stick-puppets as candidates. Helen Kroger once threatened Waverley branch. They resolutely told her to ‘get stuffed’ and in far strongere terms than these.
Unfortunately, the nepotistic “Right” did finally run over the top of them, as reflected in the zombies they put up in the 2006 State election and the 2007 Federal election. Nor must it be forgotten what these bastards did to Richmond Branch and against Prodos. Funnier, they whined when caught red handed and were exposed.
The upshot is: thousands of members, fed up with the abuse and suppression of all their rights as members of the Party, left. They are still abandoning it. How telling.
If the Party cannot convince members why it is a fine, principled Party, it has a snowflake’s chance in a hot place convincing voters in general. The numbers fell in a tad over a decade from some 20,000-30,000 to 15, 000, to over the last couple of years 12,000. Over the last year, it fell by another 1,000. Over a decade, it has bled at the rate of nearly 3,000 per annum!
Worse, as above, the majority of those who remain are ghosts/or not active. 1,000 members – the Victorian Division is a decaying carcass. This is what the sclerotic “Right” have done to the Party: shot it and let the blow flies in.
One last thing
As things stand, the paranoid “Right” will not staunch the flow, repair the hole, and refill the container. They are the bloody hole in the bucket.